La escuela de los momios

Charleroi v Genk

Inicio: 2026-05-02 16:15 UTC

Final: Charleroi 2–0 Genk

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Predicción 35.75%2.80momio equitativo
EV +0.456%
Ventaja +0.162%
Kelly +0.252%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.10%35.66%35.85%36.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.622.8141.67%38.09%38.17%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 37.45%2.67momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.573%
Kelly -0.925%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.11%37.40%37.42%38.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.482.502.6345.45%40.28%40.00%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.718%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%26.94%26.73%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.383.353.6634.72%29.54%29.85%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.53%EV +0.456%E +0.162%K +0.252%G +0.001%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.96%EV -6.75%E -2.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -1.91%E -0.522%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.098%E +0.035%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.86%EV -1.51%E -0.573%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.098%E +0.035%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.86%EV -1.51%E -0.573%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:45
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.44%EV -2.40%E -0.881%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.07%EV -2.26%E -0.864%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.66%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 15:50
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:44
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.12%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:45
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 15:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 10:10
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:09
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:10
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:50
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -11.02%E -3.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:09
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Suprabets2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.63%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:53
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:11
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:10
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:10
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:04
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:01
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:11
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 10:11
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.87%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.50%EV -8.07%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 15:50
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 16:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 15:45
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 15:45
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -11.70%E -4.74%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -11.24%E -4.74%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.41%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 10:11
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.41%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -14.20%E -5.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -17.61%E -8.00%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -22.81%E -7.92%K -12.13%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-02 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-02 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-05-02 16:10