L’École des cotes

Charleroi v Genk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 16:15 UTC

Score final : Charleroi 2–0 Genk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 35.75%2.80cote équitable
EV +0.456%
Avantage +0.162%
Kelly +0.252%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.10%35.66%35.85%36.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.622.8141.67%38.09%38.17%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Genk (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.45%2.67cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -0.925%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.11%37.40%37.42%38.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.482.502.6345.45%40.28%40.00%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.80%3.73cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%26.94%26.73%28.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.383.353.6634.72%29.54%29.85%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.53%EV +0.456%E +0.162%K +0.252%G +0.001%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.96%EV -6.75%E -2.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -1.91%E -0.522%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 16:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.098%E +0.035%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.86%EV -1.51%E -0.573%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.098%E +0.035%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.86%EV -1.51%E -0.573%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 15:45
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -1.69%E -0.614%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.44%EV -2.40%E -0.881%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.07%EV -2.26%E -0.864%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.66%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 15:50
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 16:05
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:44
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.12%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:45
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 15:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 10:10
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:09
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 16:10
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:50
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -11.02%E -3.32%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 16:09
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -5.26%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Suprabets2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -5.63%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -8.61%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:53
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -5.98%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:11
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 10:10
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 10:10
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:04
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:01
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 16:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:11
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 15:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.05%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 10:11
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.87%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.50%EV -8.07%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 15:50
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 16:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 16:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 15:45
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 15:45
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -11.70%E -4.74%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -11.24%E -4.74%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-02 16:10
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -12.41%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 10:11
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.41%E -5.07%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -14.20%E -5.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -17.61%E -8.00%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -22.81%E -7.92%K -12.13%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-02 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-05-02 16:10
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-02 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%1.3%2026-05-02 16:10
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-02 16:10
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-05-02 16:10