Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cercle Brugge KSV v Dender

Начало: 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.06%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.04%
Преимущество -3.30%
Kelly -9.52%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.92%62.04%62.06%64.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.481.501.5371.43%67.43%66.67%65.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Dender (Гости)

Прогноз 17.23%5.80справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.29%
Преимущество +1.61%
Kelly +1.91%
Рост +0.196%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.15%17.27%17.24%18.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.515.506.4020.83%18.15%18.18%15.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.70%4.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.830%
Преимущество +0.171%
Kelly +0.215%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.87

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.69%20.69%20.70%23.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.454.504.8727.78%22.46%22.22%20.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cercle Brugge KSV (Хозяева): 62.06%; Dender (Гости): 17.23%; Ничья: 20.70%. Для исхода «Dender (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.80. 13 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +10.29%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +10.29%E +1.61%K +1.91%G +0.196%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +10.29%E +1.61%K +1.91%G +0.196%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +7.70%E +1.23%K +1.47%G +0.113%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +7.70%E +1.23%K +1.47%G +0.113%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:24
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:24
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:24
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +3.39%E +0.566%K +0.679%G +0.023%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV +3.39%E +0.566%K +0.679%G +0.023%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -12.49%E -8.86%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.052%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -12.49%E -8.86%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.052%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:24
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -3.84%E -0.689%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 03:25
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.07%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.24%EV -4.19%E -0.753%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.69%EV +0.830%E +0.171%K +0.215%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-24 03:35
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:34
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 21:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -6.08%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:24
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:50
Suprabets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 01:49
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-24 01:49
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.39%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:28
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.39%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.70%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -12.11%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-24 02:15
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 00:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 00:14
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-24 01:49
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -8.15%E -5.50%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -13.11%E -9.37%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.92%EV -13.11%E -9.37%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.78%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.30%EV -25.46%E -7.07%K -9.79%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-22 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.17%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -17.28%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 01:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%2.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%2.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%4.9%2026-04-24 00:45