A Escola das Odds

Cercle Brugge KSV v Dender

Início: 2026-04-24 18:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Previsão 62.06%1.61odd justa
EV -5.04%
Vantagem -3.30%
Kelly -9.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.92%62.04%62.06%64.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.501.5371.43%67.43%66.67%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dender (Visitante)

Previsão 17.23%5.80odd justa
EV +10.29%
Vantagem +1.61%
Kelly +1.91%
Crescimento +0.196%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.15%17.27%17.24%18.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.805.515.506.4020.83%18.15%18.18%15.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.70%4.83odd justa
EV +0.830%
Vantagem +0.171%
Kelly +0.215%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.69%20.69%20.70%23.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.454.504.8727.78%22.46%22.22%20.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +10.29%E +1.61%K +1.91%G +0.196%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +10.29%E +1.61%K +1.91%G +0.196%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +7.70%E +1.23%K +1.47%G +0.113%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +7.70%E +1.23%K +1.47%G +0.113%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:24
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:24
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:24
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:24
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +3.39%E +0.566%K +0.679%G +0.023%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:24
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV +3.39%E +0.566%K +0.679%G +0.023%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -12.49%E -8.86%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.052%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -12.49%E -8.86%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.052%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:24
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -3.84%E -0.689%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 03:25
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.07%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.24%EV -4.19%E -0.753%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.69%EV +0.830%E +0.171%K +0.215%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-24 03:35
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 18:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:59
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:35
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:59
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 12:34
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 21:23
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -6.08%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:24
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:49
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:49
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:49
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 18:50
Suprabets1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:28
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 01:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 03:24
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-24 01:49
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.39%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:28
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.39%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.70%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -12.11%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-24 02:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 00:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 00:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 00:14
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:39
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-24 01:49
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -8.15%E -5.50%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 16:59
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 17:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -13.11%E -9.37%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.92%EV -13.11%E -9.37%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.78%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.30%EV -25.46%E -7.07%K -9.79%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-22 15:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.17%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -17.28%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 01:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%2.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%2.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.21%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%4.9%2026-04-24 00:45