L’École des cotesFrançais
Cercle Brugge KSV v Dender
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)
Prévision 62.06%1.61cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -3.30%
Kelly -9.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.92%62.04%62.06%64.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.501.5371.43%67.43%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Dender (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.23%5.80cote équitable
EV +10.29%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +1.91%
Croissance +0.196%
avec la cote maximale 6.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.15%17.27%17.24%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.515.506.4020.83%18.15%18.18%15.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.70%4.83cote équitable
EV +0.830%
Avantage +0.171%
Kelly +0.215%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.69%20.69%20.70%23.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.454.504.8727.78%22.46%22.22%20.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +10.29%E +1.61%K +1.91%G +0.196% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%EV +10.29%E +1.61%K +1.91%G +0.196% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.63%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +7.70%E +1.23%K +1.47%G +0.113% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV +7.70%E +1.23%K +1.47%G +0.113% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%EV -10.01%E -6.90%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV +5.12%E +0.839%K +1.00%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV +3.39%E +0.566%K +0.679%G +0.023% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.81%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV +3.39%E +0.566%K +0.679%G +0.023% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -12.49%E -8.86%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.052%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.81%EV -12.49%E -8.86%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.052%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -9.94%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.69%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.08%EV -3.84%E -0.689%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.23%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.07%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.24%EV -4.19%E -0.753%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.69%EV +0.830%E +0.171%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -12.01%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.22%E -0.949%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 21:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -6.08%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:24 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.83%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.71%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-24 03:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -8.67%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 03:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.39%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:28 |
| BetUS | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.35%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.39%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.70%EV -11.25%E -7.87%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -12.11%E -2.38%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.77%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -8.15%E -5.50%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -13.11%E -9.37%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.04%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-23 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.92%EV -13.11%E -9.37%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.78%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.30%EV -25.46%E -7.07%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-22 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.17%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -17.28%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -10.97%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.54% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |