La scuola delle quote

Anderlecht v Sint Truiden

Inizio: 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Finale: Anderlecht 3–1 Sint Truiden

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Anderlecht (Casa)

Previsione 51.24%1.95quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -1.95%
Kelly -4.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.61%51.33%51.28%53.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.801.821.8860.24%55.48%54.95%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sint Truiden (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.69%4.22quota equa
EV +1.37%
Vantaggio +0.321%
Kelly +0.418%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.35%23.66%23.66%24.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.913.904.2828.57%25.60%25.64%23.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.07%3.99quota equa
EV -2.23%
Vantaggio -0.571%
Kelly -0.767%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.66%25.01%25.06%26.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.653.703.9032.26%27.40%27.03%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.52%EV -5.71%E -3.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV +1.37%E +0.321%K +0.418%G +0.006%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.73%E -0.703%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-21 18:20
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.26%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%EV +0.899%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -3.23%E -0.836%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 18:19
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 18:20
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.12%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.04%EV -1.94%E -0.469%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.84%EV -3.73%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 18:20
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.66%E -1.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -2.23%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.66%E -1.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -2.23%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.73%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:09
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -6.49%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:18
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:20
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:20
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.73%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -14.93%E -9.00%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.47%EV -5.73%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.66%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 18:18
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -6.68%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.74%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.17%E -2.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -5.71%E -3.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.81%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:10
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.25%E -4.00%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:19
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -13.91%E -8.28%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-21 18:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -12.88%E -7.58%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-21 18:10
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -4.17%E -2.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.73%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 18:19
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 18:10
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.47%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.47%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 50.47%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -9.30%E -5.25%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -8.78%E -4.94%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-21 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.30%E -5.25%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 18:10
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.52%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -13.55%E -3.71%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 18:10
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 18:10
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.31%EV -10.83%E -6.23%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -13.51%E -3.92%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-21 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.31%EV -10.83%E -6.23%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -13.51%E -3.92%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-21 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -14.42%E -8.64%K -21.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -17.10%E -4.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -22.28%E -7.19%K -10.61%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%1.8%2026-05-21 18:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-21 18:20