L’École des cotes

Anderlecht v Sint Truiden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : Anderlecht 3–1 Sint Truiden

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anderlecht (Local)

Prévision 51.24%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -4.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.61%51.33%51.28%53.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.801.821.8860.24%55.48%54.95%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sint Truiden (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV +1.37%
Avantage +0.321%
Kelly +0.418%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.35%23.66%23.66%24.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.913.904.2828.57%25.60%25.64%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.07%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -0.767%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.66%25.01%25.06%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.653.703.9032.26%27.40%27.03%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.52%EV -5.71%E -3.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV +1.37%E +0.321%K +0.418%G +0.006%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.73%E -0.703%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-21 18:20
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.26%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%EV +0.899%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -3.23%E -0.836%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 18:19
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -0.522%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 18:20
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.12%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.04%EV -1.94%E -0.469%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.84%EV -3.73%E -0.971%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 18:20
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.66%E -1.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -2.23%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.53%EV -3.66%E -1.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.84%EV -2.23%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 18:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.73%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:09
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -6.49%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:18
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:20
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:20
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.89%E -0.705%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.73%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.87%EV -14.93%E -9.00%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.47%EV -5.73%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.66%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-21 18:18
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -6.74%E -3.70%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.67%EV -6.68%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.74%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.17%E -2.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -5.71%E -3.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 18:10
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.63%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 18:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -8.81%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:10
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -7.25%E -4.00%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:19
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.39%EV -13.91%E -8.28%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-21 18:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -12.88%E -7.58%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -10.00%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-21 18:10
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -4.17%E -2.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -4.73%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 18:19
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 18:10
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 18:10
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.47%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.47%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 50.47%EV -8.27%E -4.62%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 18:10
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -9.30%E -5.25%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.75%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -8.78%E -4.94%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-21 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.30%E -5.25%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 18:10
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.52%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -13.55%E -3.71%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 18:10
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 18:10
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.31%EV -10.83%E -6.23%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -13.51%E -3.92%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-21 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.31%EV -10.83%E -6.23%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -13.51%E -3.92%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-21 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -14.42%E -8.64%K -21.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -17.10%E -4.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -22.28%E -7.19%K -10.61%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-21 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%1.8%2026-05-21 18:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-21 18:20