La scuola delle quote

Anderlecht v KV Mechelen

Inizio: 2026-05-17 11:30 UTC

Finale: Anderlecht 2–2 KV Mechelen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Anderlecht (Casa)

Previsione 50.66%1.97quota equa
EV -4.25%
Vantaggio -2.25%
Kelly -4.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.61%50.59%50.72%51.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.821.831.8959.88%54.81%54.64%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

KV Mechelen (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.33%4.11quota equa
EV -0.968%
Vantaggio -0.238%
Kelly -0.315%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.66%24.39%24.32%25.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.793.804.0728.57%26.37%26.32%24.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.01%4.00quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -0.633%
Kelly -0.851%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.31%25.02%24.96%26.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.683.703.9032.26%27.20%27.03%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.67%E -0.668%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 20:55
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -2.67%E -0.668%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.76%EV -0.968%E -0.238%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -2.47%E -0.633%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 06:30
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 14:14
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 14:14
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.75%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 11:34
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -2.67%E -0.668%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 06:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 09:49
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:30
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.30%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.79%EV -2.43%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.91%EV -4.22%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 06:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 09:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 09:50
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:30
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.85%EV -9.24%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 23:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 14:15
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 14:14
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 21:44
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 21:44
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.96%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -12.40%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 07:15
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 20:09
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 06:17
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:35
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 06:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:09
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:34
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:35
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 11:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 20:55
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -6.32%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 20:55
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.10%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 23:04
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.26%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -6.47%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:40
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.75%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.72%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 20:55
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.97%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:25
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.19%E -3.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.22%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-12 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 07:15
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -8.31%E -4.59%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -9.97%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.22%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:25
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -8.31%E -4.59%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -9.97%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.22%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:24
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -8.31%E -4.59%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -9.97%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.22%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:24
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.75%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.22%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 14:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.40%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 06:20
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -7.47%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.13%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -11.19%E -3.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -11.22%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 07:25
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -12.40%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -12.47%E -3.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-17 07:25
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.54%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.97%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-11 23:03
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -8.75%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -11.22%E -3.16%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 06:20
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.40%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.47%E -3.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-14 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.40%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.72%E -3.98%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 20:55
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.40%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.72%E -3.98%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 20:55
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 51.12%EV -12.87%E -7.48%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -9.97%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -12.47%E -3.56%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-11 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.61%EV -15.40%E -9.22%K -22.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.67%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -22.47%E -7.25%K -10.70%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-17 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-17 08:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-17 08:11
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-05-17 06:15
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-17 08:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%2.4%2026-05-17 07:30