Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anderlecht v Genk

Início: 2026-09-06 16:30 UTC

Final: Anderlecht 0–0 Genk

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anderlecht (Local)

Previsão 41.01%2.44odd justa
EV +1.28%
Vantagem +0.520%
Kelly +0.874%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.27%41.18%40.96%42.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.252.4747.62%44.68%44.44%40.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Genk (Visitante)

Previsão 33.16%3.02odd justa
EV +2.80%
Vantagem +0.903%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.92%33.05%33.10%35.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.842.813.1038.17%35.25%35.59%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.83%3.87odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.552%
Kelly -0.750%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.71%25.78%25.94%27.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.543.603.7930.77%28.28%27.78%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Anderlecht (Local): 41.01%; Genk (Visitante): 33.16%; Empate: 25.83%. Para Genk (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.02. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -6.51%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV +2.80%E +0.903%K +1.33%G +0.037%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -6.51%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV +2.80%E +0.903%K +1.33%G +0.037%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.22%EV -6.51%E -2.85%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV +2.80%E +0.903%K +1.33%G +0.037%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -8.56%E -3.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -0.518%E -0.173%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -8.56%E -3.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -0.518%E -0.173%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:55
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -8.56%E -3.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -0.518%E -0.173%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:55
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -8.56%E -3.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -0.518%E -0.173%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.39%EV -4.05%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -1.84%E -0.623%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -3.38%E -0.905%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.18%E -0.738%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -10.61%E -4.87%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -2.18%E -0.738%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 15:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 13:35
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -11.02%E -5.08%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -11.02%E -5.08%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.74%EV -11.02%E -5.08%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -4.50%E -1.56%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -14.75%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 15:44
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 15:45
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -13.07%E -6.16%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.04%E -4.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -13.07%E -6.16%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -5.49%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -16.04%E -4.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%EV -4.87%E -2.10%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.19%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.10%EV -6.92%E -3.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -5.82%E -2.05%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.52%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.23%EV -6.49%E -2.30%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.23%EV -6.49%E -2.30%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 16:09
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.49%E -2.30%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.01%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 16:23
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.13%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -4.05%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 16:25
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -4.05%E -1.73%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 16:20
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:45
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.15%E -2.55%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 16:20
1xBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.27%EV +1.28%E +0.520%K +0.874%G +0.011%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.14%EV -8.48%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.59%EV -2.09%E -0.552%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 16:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:24
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.13%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 16:05
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -5.69%E -2.47%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.74%E -3.44%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 16:22
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -11.02%E -5.08%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.75%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -13.07%E -6.16%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -8.81%E -3.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.75%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -11.84%E -5.51%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -10.47%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -12.12%E -4.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -9.79%E -4.45%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -12.12%E -4.58%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -13.89%E -6.61%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -13.12%E -5.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -3.13%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-09-06 16:20
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-06 16:25
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-09-06 16:25