A Escola das Odds

Anderlecht v Club Brugge

Início: 2026-05-03 16:30 UTC

Final: Anderlecht 1–3 Club Brugge

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Anderlecht (Local)

Previsão 19.73%5.07odd justa
EV +2.58%
Vantagem +0.496%
Kelly +0.614%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.48%19.68%19.69%20.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.304.784.805.2023.26%20.92%20.83%19.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Club Brugge (Visitante)

Previsão 59.46%1.68odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -2.26%
Kelly -5.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.34%59.46%59.48%60.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.561.561.6269.44%64.12%64.10%61.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.81%4.81odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.512%
Kelly -0.651%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.02%20.86%20.83%23.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.384.404.6928.57%22.85%22.73%21.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.58%E +0.496%K +0.614%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:15
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.58%E +0.496%K +0.614%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:15
1xBet5.19I 19.27%NM 18.67%EV +2.38%E +0.459%K +0.568%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.57%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.75%EV -2.82%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV +0.606%E +0.119%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.62%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV +0.606%E +0.119%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.62%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:20
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:25
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:14
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:15
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:15
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:15
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -2.35%E -0.475%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.62%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.32%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 15:50
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Suprabets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.64%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 16:15
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -10.21%E -6.76%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 16:15
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.33%EV -4.33%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.50%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.17%EV -3.24%E -0.696%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:20
Pinnacle4.84I 20.66%NM 19.92%EV -4.52%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -2.40%E -0.512%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 16:15
Betsson4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:25
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 09:10
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:20
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 15:40
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:20
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:15
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:15
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 15:35
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:05
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:14
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Betr (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:10
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:14
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 16:10
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.28%EV -4.26%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.26%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:36
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:00
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.62%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 16:15
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.24%EV -9.62%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.00%EV -10.24%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.08%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:15
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 15:50
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.93%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 16:25
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -13.20%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:15
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -14.58%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.07%EV -14.58%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 57.34%EV -14.37%E -9.98%K -32.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -27.17%E -7.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-03 15:50
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.54%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-03 15:55
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.2%2026-05-03 16:20