L’École des cotes

Anderlecht v Club Brugge

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 16:30 UTC

Score final : Anderlecht 1–3 Club Brugge

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anderlecht (Local)

Prévision 19.73%5.07cote équitable
EV +2.58%
Avantage +0.496%
Kelly +0.614%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.48%19.68%19.69%20.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.784.805.2023.26%20.92%20.83%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Club Brugge (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.46%1.68cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -5.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.34%59.46%59.48%60.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.561.561.6269.44%64.12%64.10%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.81%4.81cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.512%
Kelly -0.651%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.02%20.86%20.83%23.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.384.404.6928.57%22.85%22.73%21.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.58%E +0.496%K +0.614%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:15
Svenska Spel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.58%E +0.496%K +0.614%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:15
1xBet5.19I 19.27%NM 18.67%EV +2.38%E +0.459%K +0.568%G +0.014%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.57%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.75%EV -2.82%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:25
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV +0.606%E +0.119%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.62%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV +0.606%E +0.119%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.62%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:20
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:25
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:14
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:15
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:15
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:15
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:15
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -2.35%E -0.475%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.62%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.32%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 15:50
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:25
Suprabets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.64%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 16:15
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -10.21%E -6.76%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 16:15
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.33%EV -4.33%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.50%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.17%EV -3.24%E -0.696%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:20
Pinnacle4.84I 20.66%NM 19.92%EV -4.52%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -2.40%E -0.512%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 16:15
Betsson4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 16:25
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 09:10
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:20
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 15:40
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:20
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:15
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:15
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 15:35
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:05
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:14
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:10
Betr (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:10
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:14
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 16:10
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.28%EV -4.26%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.26%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:36
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:35
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:00
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:20
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 16:10
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.62%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 16:15
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.24%EV -9.62%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.00%EV -10.24%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.08%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 16:15
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 15:50
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.93%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 16:25
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 16:10
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -13.20%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:15
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -14.58%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.07%EV -14.58%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 57.34%EV -14.37%E -9.98%K -32.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -27.17%E -7.76%K -10.87%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-03 15:50
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.54%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-05-03 15:55
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-05-03 16:25
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.2%2026-05-03 16:20