La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.69
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| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.58%E +0.496%K +0.614%G +0.016% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.58%E +0.496%K +0.614%G +0.016% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.67%EV +2.38%E +0.459%K +0.568%G +0.014% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.57%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.75%EV -2.82%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV +0.606%E +0.119%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.62%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV +0.606%E +0.119%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.62%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BetRivers | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.37%E -0.273%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -2.35%E -0.475%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.62%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -5.32%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Suprabets | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.64%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -10.21%E -6.76%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.33%EV -4.33%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.50%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.17%EV -3.24%E -0.696%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.92%EV -4.52%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -2.40%E -0.512%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Betsson | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| theScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.08%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| BetUS | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| BetAnything | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -5.31%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Bovada | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.36%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.28%EV -4.26%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -4.26%E -2.65%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 15:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -3.67%E -2.26%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:35 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.60%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -9.62%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.24%EV -9.62%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -11.56%E -2.72%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.00%EV -10.24%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.08%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -9.48%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.93%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%EV -10.52%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -13.20%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.28%E -0.929%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -14.58%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -9.89%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.07%EV -14.58%E -3.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.34%EV -14.37%E -9.98%K -32.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -27.17%E -7.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-05-03 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.54%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -8.44%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-05-03 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81% | 2.2% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |