Language:English
WSG Tirol v Ried
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
WSG Tirol (Local)
Prediction 32.47%3.08fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.86%32.48%32.49%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.812.852.9337.74%35.57%35.09%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ried (Visit)
Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.61%38.70%39.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.46%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.90%28.81%30.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.163.153.4035.71%31.61%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 32.47%; Ried (Visit): 38.69%; Draw: 28.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.53%EV -4.85%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.59%EV -4.45%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.45%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.60%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -1.94%E -0.570%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 15:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 10:42 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 07:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.94%E -0.570%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.64%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.50%EV -9.73%E -3.11%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 22:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 15:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.58%EV -11.67%E -4.29%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 38.36%EV -10.64%E -4.60%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-20 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -19.24%E -6.87%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.95%E -5.26%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-21 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.95%E -5.26%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.46% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.46% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.46% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.46% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.18% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.97% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |