La escuela de los momios

WSG Tirol v Ried

Inicio: 2026-04-25 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

WSG Tirol (Local)

Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV -4.85%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.86%32.48%32.49%33.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.812.852.9337.74%35.57%35.09%34.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ried (Visitante)

Predicción 38.69%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.05%38.61%38.70%39.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.46%42.55%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.84%3.47momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.570%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.90%28.81%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.163.153.4035.71%31.61%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 32.53%EV -4.85%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.59%EV -4.45%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 19:55
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 15:04
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:54
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:24
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 31.91%EV -5.83%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:25
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.45%EV -6.15%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.60%EV -5.99%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:59
Coolbet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:29
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:34
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:45
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.48%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:44
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -1.94%E -0.570%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:02
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:42
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 07:14
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:09
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:10
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:10
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.94%E -0.570%K -0.808%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 22:45
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:39
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 18:45
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 18:45
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 18:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 18:45
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.64%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.50%EV -9.73%E -3.11%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 15:06
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 22:44
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:34
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:34
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 15:10
Suprabets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.58%EV -11.67%E -4.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 38.36%EV -10.64%E -4.60%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.03%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-22 15:04
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-21 18:45
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -19.24%E -6.87%K -10.69%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.95%E -5.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-21 21:30
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.95%E -5.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 33.46%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%9.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 32.97%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%9.1%2026-04-23 15:05