Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

WSG Tirol v Ried

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prediction 32.52%3.07fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.69%32.47%32.46%33.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.66%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ried (Visit)

Prediction 37.70%2.65fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%37.68%37.87%38.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.402.6244.44%41.08%41.67%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.78%3.36fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.37%29.85%29.67%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.083.2035.71%32.80%32.47%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 32.52%; Ried (Visit): 37.70%; Draw: 29.78%. For Ried (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.43%E -0.811%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.98%E -0.761%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.43%E -0.811%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.98%E -0.761%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:10
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -1.22%E -0.467%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -5.61%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 01:55
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 21:10
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 21:10
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.97%EV -6.01%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.79%EV -2.36%E -0.909%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -6.20%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 21:10
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:05
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:10
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -6.99%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -8.29%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:04
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.86%E -1.52%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 02:30
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 02:04
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 03:03
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:30
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 02:09
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 02:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 21:10
Suprabets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.94%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.60%EV -11.56%E -3.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 01:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:04
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 01:40
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 20:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.11%EV -9.59%E -3.45%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.81%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.08%EV -8.59%E -2.80%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 02:29
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 20:40
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -10.65%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 02:05
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -10.65%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.62%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.70%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.69%EV -14.54%E -5.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-22 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -16.63%E -5.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-22 02:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -15.17%E -6.74%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 21:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.69%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.95%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.36%EV -16.63%E -5.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-22 02:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.52%2.4%2026-02-22 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%3.4%2026-02-22 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%3.4%2026-02-22 03:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%3.5%2026-02-22 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%3.6%2026-02-22 03:15