La escuela de los momios

WSG Tirol v Ried

Inicio: 2026-02-22 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

WSG Tirol (Local)

Predicción 32.52%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.811%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.69%32.47%32.46%33.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.66%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ried (Visitante)

Predicción 37.70%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.756%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%37.68%37.87%38.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.402.6244.44%41.08%41.67%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.78%3.36momio equitativo
EV -4.71%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.37%29.85%29.67%31.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.083.2035.71%32.80%32.47%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.43%E -0.811%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.98%E -0.761%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:09
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.43%E -0.811%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.98%E -0.761%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:10
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -3.08%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.96%EV -1.22%E -0.467%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -5.61%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 01:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 01:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 21:10
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.20%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 21:10
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.68%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:40
Coolbet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.97%EV -6.01%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.79%EV -2.36%E -0.909%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -6.20%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 21:10
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:05
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.33%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:10
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -6.99%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.05%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -8.29%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:04
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -3.86%E -1.52%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 02:30
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 02:04
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 03:03
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:30
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 02:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 02:30
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:34
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 21:10
Suprabets2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.94%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.60%EV -11.56%E -3.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 01:40
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:04
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:04
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:05
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 02:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 01:40
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 20:29
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.11%EV -9.59%E -3.45%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.81%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.08%EV -8.59%E -2.80%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 21:09
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.56%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 07:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.63%E -3.12%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 02:29
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 20:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.27%E -4.32%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-22 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -10.65%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 02:05
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -10.65%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 02:05
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.62%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.70%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.69%EV -14.54%E -5.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-22 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -12.19%E -4.51%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -16.63%E -5.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-22 02:30
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -13.81%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -15.17%E -6.74%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 21:09
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.69%EV -15.44%E -5.94%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.95%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.36%EV -16.63%E -5.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-22 02:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.52%2.4%2026-02-22 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%3.4%2026-02-22 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%3.4%2026-02-22 03:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%3.5%2026-02-22 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 32.82%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%3.6%2026-02-22 03:15