Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 4.01
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 47.93%; Hartberg (Visit): 25.34%; Draw: 26.73%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV +1.61%E +0.402%K +0.535%G +0.009% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.090%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV -5.37%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.37%E -5.55%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -1.18%E -0.302%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.82%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -2.44%E -0.635%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.82%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -2.44%E -0.635%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 12:02 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.98%E -4.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.98%E -4.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 12:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.67%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.42%EV -11.25%E -3.39%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.51%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 12:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 12:06 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -12.77%E -7.02%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.20%EV -12.77%E -7.02%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -12.32%E -3.76%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.12%EV -10.85%E -5.83%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.36%EV -10.85%E -5.83%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-13 11:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.36% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03% | 2.8% | 2026-09-13 12:26 |