Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

WSG Tirol v Hartberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC

Score final : WSG Tirol 2–2 Hartberg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prévision 47.93%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.851%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%47.84%48.02%50.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.41%51.28%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hartberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.34%3.95cote équitable
EV +1.61%
Avantage +0.402%
Kelly +0.535%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%25.44%25.24%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.523.504.0131.25%28.40%28.57%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%26.72%26.74%27.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.413.403.6030.77%29.28%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : WSG Tirol (Local) : 47.93% ; Hartberg (Visiteur) : 25.34% ; Match nul : 26.73%. Pour Hartberg (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.95. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.01, soit une espérance positive de +1.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.11%EV +1.61%E +0.402%K +0.535%G +0.009%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 12:05
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.090%E +0.023%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV -5.37%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.37%E -5.55%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -1.18%E -0.302%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.82%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -2.44%E -0.635%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.82%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -2.44%E -0.635%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 11:45
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.10%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 12:02
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.98%E -4.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 12:25
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.98%E -4.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 12:26
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 11:45
Suprabets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.67%EV -6.50%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.42%EV -11.25%E -3.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 12:05
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.51%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.14%E -2.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:54
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.10%E -2.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 12:05
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 12:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 12:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -12.77%E -7.02%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.20%EV -12.77%E -7.02%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -12.32%E -3.76%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 12:19
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.12%EV -10.85%E -5.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -7.78%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.36%EV -10.85%E -5.83%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 12:05
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:21
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -1.75%E -0.851%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 11:56
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 11:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.38%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -6.54%E -3.35%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -18.91%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-09-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-09-13 12:25
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%2.8%2026-09-13 12:26