Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

WSG Tirol v FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:02 UTC

Final: WSG Tirol 1–1 FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prediction 33.40%2.99fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.38%33.43%34.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.64%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visit)

Prediction 37.68%2.65fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.48%37.75%37.66%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.422.452.5945.45%41.25%40.82%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.88%28.91%29.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.203.4035.71%31.56%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 33.40%; FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visit): 37.68%; Draw: 28.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -2.41%E -0.929%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 14:59
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.67%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.78%EV -4.29%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -2.82%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:59
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.04%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.04%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.13%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:59
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.66%E -0.489%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:00
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.29%EV -8.83%E -3.23%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -11.21%E -3.65%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.66%EV -8.83%E -3.23%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.58%EV -9.76%E -3.13%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 14:58
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -17.10%E -7.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 15:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.32%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.32%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:59
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -15.22%E -6.76%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.17%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 14:59
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -13.17%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 14:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.36%EV -14.84%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.81%EV -15.22%E -6.76%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.84%EV -14.68%E -4.98%K -7.53%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.56%EV -16.51%E -6.60%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.48%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -19.02%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-05-09 14:59
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%5.1%2026-05-09 15:00