La escuela de los momios

WSG Tirol v FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Inicio: 2026-05-09 15:02 UTC

Final: WSG Tirol 1–1 FC Blau-Weiß Linz

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

WSG Tirol (Local)

Predicción 33.40%2.99momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.13%33.38%33.43%34.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.64%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Blau-Weiß Linz (Visitante)

Predicción 37.68%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.48%37.75%37.66%39.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.422.452.5945.45%41.25%40.82%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.92%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.88%28.91%29.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.203.4035.71%31.56%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.41%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.41%EV -2.41%E -0.929%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.18%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 14:59
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.67%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.78%EV -4.29%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.56%EV -2.82%E -0.839%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 14:59
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:59
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:59
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.04%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:59
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.04%E -2.00%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:59
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -5.82%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -3.16%E -1.23%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.13%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 14:59
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.66%E -0.489%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:00
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 15:00
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:00
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Suprabets2.73I 36.63%NM 33.29%EV -8.83%E -3.23%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -11.21%E -3.65%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.66%EV -8.83%E -3.23%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.58%EV -9.76%E -3.13%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 14:58
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:59
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -13.23%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -17.10%E -7.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 15:00
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -7.68%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -10.32%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 15:00
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.32%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 14:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -15.22%E -6.76%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 15:00
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.17%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 14:59
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -13.17%E -5.07%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 14:58
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.36%EV -14.84%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.81%EV -15.22%E -6.76%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.84%EV -14.68%E -4.98%K -7.53%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.56%EV -16.51%E -6.60%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.48%EV -13.33%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -19.02%E -6.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-05-09 14:59
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%5.1%2026-05-09 15:00