Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC v RB Salzburg

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC

Final: Wolfsberger AC 1–1 RB Salzburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Prediction 29.26%3.42fair odd
EV +6.51%
Edge +1.79%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.161%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%29.18%29.27%30.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.153.6434.48%31.86%31.75%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visit)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%45.07%44.81%48.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.01%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV -0.609%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.214%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.74%25.92%27.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.553.8530.77%28.19%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 29.26%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 44.92%; Draw: 25.82%. For Wolfsberger AC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV +6.51%E +1.79%K +2.47%G +0.161%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -11.05%E -5.58%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.13%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:55
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV +0.951%E +0.276%K +0.388%G +0.004%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -0.609%E -0.158%K -0.214%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:55
Pinnacle🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.366%E +0.107%K +0.151%G +0.001%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.82%EV -5.21%E -2.47%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 14:55
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 14:40
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:45
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:54
Suprabets🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -7.24%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33%EV -14.03%E -4.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:19
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.07%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.90%E -0.500%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:54
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.19%E -0.851%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 14:45
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 14:45
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:20
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:45
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.75%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.75%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -13.30%E -6.89%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 14:20
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -11.05%E -5.58%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -13.68%E -4.64%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -15.14%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -14.20%E -7.43%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-09 14:55
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-08-09 14:55

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