Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC v RB Salzburg

2026-08-09 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV -6.31%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.61%28.24%27.97%29.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.253.3233.33%31.22%30.77%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visit)

Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -4.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.97%46.32%46.55%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.972.002.0553.76%50.73%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.43%25.48%26.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.553.8029.41%28.12%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 28.22%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 46.40%; Draw: 25.38%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -3.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -6.31%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.13%EV -5.81%E -2.86%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:10
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 10:30
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.52%E -4.88%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 10:20
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -5.81%E -2.86%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.82%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.55%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 10:50
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.70%E -4.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 11:00
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.70%E -4.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 11:04
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.70%E -4.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 11:04
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.70%E -4.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 11:04
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.52%E -4.88%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.89%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 10:19
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.55%E -0.934%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 10:28
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.62%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 10:49
Betclic (FR)3.18I 31.45%NM 27.61%EV -10.27%E -3.23%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.95%EV -13.23%E -7.08%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 10:19
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -12.77%E -6.79%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -9.89%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 10:19
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -9.98%E -5.15%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.16%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 10:29
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.38%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.53%EV -13.70%E -7.36%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.09%EV -12.43%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-02 10:19
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.52%E -4.88%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.70%E -4.03%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.