Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wolfsberger AC v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC

Score final : Wolfsberger AC 1–1 RB Salzburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Prévision 29.26%3.42cote équitable
EV +6.51%
Avantage +1.79%
Kelly +2.47%
Croissance +0.161%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.38%29.18%29.27%30.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.153.6434.48%31.86%31.75%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.92%2.23cote équitable
EV -5.21%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -4.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.74%45.07%44.81%48.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.01%48.78%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.609%
Avantage -0.158%
Kelly -0.214%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%25.74%25.92%27.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.553.553.8530.77%28.19%28.17%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wolfsberger AC (Local) : 29.26% ; RB Salzburg (Visiteur) : 44.92% ; Match nul : 25.82%. Pour Wolfsberger AC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.42. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.64, soit une espérance positive de +6.51%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV +6.51%E +1.79%K +2.47%G +0.161%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -11.05%E -5.58%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.13%EV -1.38%E -0.362%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:55
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV +0.951%E +0.276%K +0.388%G +0.004%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -0.609%E -0.158%K -0.214%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:55
Pinnacle🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.366%E +0.107%K +0.151%G +0.001%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.82%EV -5.21%E -2.47%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 14:55
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 14:40
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:45
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.36%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:54
Suprabets🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -7.24%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.96%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.33%EV -14.03%E -4.21%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:19
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.64%EV -7.01%E -3.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -7.83%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.07%EV -8.81%E -4.34%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -16.10%E -4.95%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.90%E -0.500%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 14:54
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.19%E -0.851%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 14:45
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 14:45
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -8.36%E -4.10%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:20
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:45
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.75%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.64%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.75%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.48%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -13.30%E -6.89%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 14:20
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -11.05%E -5.58%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -13.68%E -4.64%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -8.35%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -15.14%E -5.22%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -14.20%E -7.43%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -7.06%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-09 14:55
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-08-09 14:55