Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.58
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 4.68
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 18.38%; Rapid Wien (Visit): 60.79%; Draw: 20.83%. For Wolfsberger AC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.26%EV +2.59%E +0.464%K +0.565%G +0.015% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.58%EV -2.53%E -0.540%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.12%E +0.203%K +0.248%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 16:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.97%EV -2.01%E -0.377%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -3.96%E -2.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 16:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -3.96%E -2.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -13.57%E -3.27%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -3.96%E -2.50%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -13.57%E -3.27%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -10.83%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.11%EV -10.83%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -12.67%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.14%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.48%E -2.70%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -12.67%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -13.59%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -11.25%E -7.71%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 17:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -13.59%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.15%EV -11.25%E -7.71%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.16%EV -13.57%E -3.27%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.15%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -20.39%E -4.71%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.90% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |