Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolfsberger AC v Rapid Wien

Início: 2026-09-12 17:30 UTC

Final: Wolfsberger AC 0–3 Rapid Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Previsão 18.38%5.44odd justa
EV +2.59%
Vantagem +0.464%
Kelly +0.565%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.98%18.47%18.21%20.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.854.805.5823.09%20.60%20.83%17.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rapid Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 60.79%1.65odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -4.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.73%60.57%60.99%62.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.15%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.83%4.80odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -0.540%
Kelly -0.687%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.25%20.97%20.80%22.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.294.224.6825.64%23.34%23.67%21.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 18.38%; Rapid Wien (Visitante): 60.79%; Empate: 20.83%. Para Wolfsberger AC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.44. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.58, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.59%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯5.58I 17.92%NM 17.26%EV +2.59%E +0.464%K +0.565%G +0.015%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.15%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.58%EV -2.53%E -0.540%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:16
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.12%E +0.203%K +0.248%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 16:56
1xBet🎯5.33I 18.76%NM 17.97%EV -2.01%E -0.377%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 17:25
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:25
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.48%E -0.663%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:25
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.40%E -0.846%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -3.96%E -2.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 16:30
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 16:30
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:25
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:25
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:25
Suprabets🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 16:56
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.08%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:05
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -3.96%E -2.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -13.57%E -3.27%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:25
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -3.96%E -2.50%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -13.57%E -3.27%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:25
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.61%EV -10.83%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.11%EV -10.83%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -12.47%E -8.66%K -28.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 17:05
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:21
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:25
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.75%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:25
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -12.67%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.14%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.48%E -2.70%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 16:30
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -12.67%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:25
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -13.59%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -11.25%E -7.71%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-12 17:16
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -13.59%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.15%EV -11.25%E -7.71%K -24.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.16%EV -13.57%E -3.27%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 17:25
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 16:30
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:25
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.15%EV -9.43%E -6.33%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:25
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -15.43%E -3.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.27%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.77%E -4.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -20.39%E -4.71%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.07%EV -8.82%E -5.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.46%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-09-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.1%2026-09-12 17:25
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.90%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%1.6%2026-09-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-09-12 17:25
Smarkets◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.30%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%2.0%2026-09-12 17:25