Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sturm Graz v Rheindorf Altach

2026-08-15 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

47%

26%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sturm Graz (Local)

Prediction 47.22%2.12fair odd

EV -5.55%

Edge -2.78%

Kelly -5.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.76%47.34%47.18%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.43%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rheindorf Altach (Visit)

Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd

EV -5.70%

Edge -1.58%

Kelly -2.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.74%26.18%26.17%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.443.483.6031.25%29.08%28.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd

EV -4.30%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -1.65%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.74%26.47%26.65%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.17%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sturm Graz (Local): 47.22%; Rheindorf Altach (Visit): 26.19%; Draw: 26.58%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -4.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Betr (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-07 14:01
1xBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.03%E -3.03%K -6.09%G +0.000%	3.58I 27.93%NM 26.17%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-07 16:34
Coolbet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.50%E -3.28%K -6.63%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-07 14:04
Fanatics🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-07 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-07 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -8.86%E -4.59%K -9.53%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-08-07 14:05
FanDuel🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-07 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-07 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -12.16%E -6.54%K -14.14%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-08-07 14:04
SportsBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -12.64%E -6.83%K -14.87%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-07 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 47.40%EV -12.64%E -6.83%K -14.87%G +0.000%	3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -11.73%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-08-07 17:35
Sky Bet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 46.76%EV -12.64%E -6.83%K -14.87%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -14.87%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-08-07 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 46.89%EV -13.11%E -7.12%K -15.61%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -16.18%E -5.06%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-08-07 14:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.58%E -7.42%K -16.36%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%	15.3%	2026-08-07 15:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.