Language:English
Sturm Graz v Rheindorf Altach
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 56.65%1.77fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -6.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.19%56.67%56.62%58.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.631.6964.52%61.64%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rheindorf Altach (Visit)
Prediction 19.35%5.17fair odd
EV +4.50%
Edge +0.834%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.74%19.32%19.37%20.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.704.705.4023.09%21.27%21.28%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.00%4.17fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.517%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%24.01%24.01%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.793.804.1027.78%26.39%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 56.65%; Rheindorf Altach (Visit): 19.35%; Draw: 24.00%. For Rheindorf Altach (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.70%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.74%EV +4.50%E +0.834%K +1.02%G +0.046% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.95%EV -4.27%E -2.52%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.69%EV -0.335%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -1.30%E -0.255%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.24%E -0.647%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.00%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.24%E -0.647%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -1.60%E -0.391%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.40%E -3.23%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.50%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.50%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.04%EV -9.93%E -6.25%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.45%EV -10.96%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.00%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.92%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:21 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.00%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.40%E -3.23%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.66%E -4.70%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.20%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.69%EV -9.93%E -6.25%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.59%EV -10.50%E -6.64%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.97%EV -10.48%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 17:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -11.06%E -7.05%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.66%E -4.70%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -12.20%E -7.87%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -11.06%E -7.05%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -11.06%E -7.05%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.37%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.37%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -10.50%E -6.64%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -14.85%E -3.37%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 57.17% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 24.09% | -1.2% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |