Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sturm Graz v Rheindorf Altach

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 17:30 UTC

Score final : Sturm Graz 1–0 Rheindorf Altach

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sturm Graz (Local)

Prévision 56.65%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -6.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.19%56.67%56.62%58.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.621.631.6964.52%61.64%61.35%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rheindorf Altach (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.35%5.17cote équitable
EV +4.50%
Avantage +0.834%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.74%19.32%19.37%20.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.704.705.4023.09%21.27%21.28%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.00%4.17cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.391%
Kelly -0.517%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.82%24.01%24.01%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.793.804.1027.78%26.39%26.32%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sturm Graz (Local) : 56.65% ; Rheindorf Altach (Visiteur) : 19.35% ; Match nul : 24.00%. Pour Rheindorf Altach (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.17. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.40, soit une espérance positive de +4.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.70%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.74%EV +4.50%E +0.834%K +1.02%G +0.046%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.95%EV -4.27%E -2.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.69%EV -0.335%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -1.30%E -0.255%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.24%E -0.647%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.00%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.24%E -0.647%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -1.60%E -0.391%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:44
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.40%E -3.23%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.50%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.50%EV -5.96%E -3.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:08
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:10
Suprabets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.04%EV -9.93%E -6.25%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -5.17%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.45%EV -10.96%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.00%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:24
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.92%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:21
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:19
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.11%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 17:19
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.00%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:24
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -6.53%E -3.96%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 14:39
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:24
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.34%EV -7.10%E -4.33%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -9.04%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.40%E -3.23%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.40%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 17:24
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.66%E -4.70%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.20%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.69%EV -9.93%E -6.25%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.59%EV -10.50%E -6.64%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.97%EV -10.48%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 17:23
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.26%EV -11.06%E -7.05%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -10.98%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -13.60%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -9.36%E -5.85%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -7.66%E -4.70%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 17:19
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -12.20%E -7.87%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -8.80%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -11.06%E -7.05%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -11.06%E -7.05%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 13:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.37%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-15 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.37%EV -11.63%E -7.45%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -12.91%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.40%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-15 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -10.50%E -6.64%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -14.85%E -3.37%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.23%E -5.08%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.80%E -5.46%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -16.20%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -11.20%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 57.17%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 24.09%-1.2%2026-08-15 17:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-15 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-15 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-15 17:24
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-15 17:24