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Sturm Graz v RB Salzburg

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sturm Graz (Local)

Prediction 31.41%3.18fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.57%31.27%31.44%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.882.903.1038.17%34.74%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visit)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.88%45.05%44.89%46.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.032.052.1353.76%49.14%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.67%4.23fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.429%
Kelly -0.566%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%23.68%23.67%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.823.804.1528.57%26.15%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sturm Graz (Local): 31.41%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 44.92%; Draw: 23.67%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.15, with an expected value of -1.78%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -11.05%E -5.58%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -11.95%E -6.10%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:45
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -5.15%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -1.78%E -0.429%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:50
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:50
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.60%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -4.31%E -2.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -4.76%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 14:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -14.64%E -7.71%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 14:19
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.00%EV -16.44%E -8.84%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 31.56%EV -12.68%E -4.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.23%EV -12.85%E -6.62%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.21%EV -10.54%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 15:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -13.63%E -4.95%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -8.80%E -4.34%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 14:15
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.61%EV -17.39%E -6.61%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.88%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -17.17%E -4.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-01 14:18
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.67%EV -17.71%E -6.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.81%EV -14.19%E -7.43%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.52%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-01 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 29.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%15.8%2026-11-01 14:00