Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sturm Graz v RB Salzburg

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sturm Graz (Casa)

Previsione 31.41%3.18quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.849%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.57%31.27%31.44%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.882.903.1038.17%34.74%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

RB Salzburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.92%2.23quota equa
EV -4.31%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -3.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.88%45.05%44.89%46.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.862.032.052.1353.76%49.14%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.67%4.23quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.429%
Kelly -0.566%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.52%23.68%23.67%24.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.823.804.1528.57%26.15%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Sturm Graz (Casa): 31.41%; RB Salzburg (Trasferta): 44.92%; Pareggio: 23.67%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.23. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.15, con un valore atteso del -1.78%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -2.63%E -0.849%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -11.05%E -5.58%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -11.95%E -6.10%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:45
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.59%EV -5.15%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -1.78%E -0.429%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:50
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.34%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 15:50
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.60%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -4.31%E -2.02%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.70%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -4.76%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 14:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.26%EV -14.64%E -7.71%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 14:19
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -10.48%E -3.68%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -5.66%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.56%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.00%EV -16.44%E -8.84%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -13.62%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 31.56%EV -12.68%E -4.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.23%EV -12.85%E -6.62%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.21%EV -10.54%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 15:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -13.63%E -4.95%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -15.20%E -5.63%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -8.80%E -4.34%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -11.25%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 14:15
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.61%EV -17.39%E -6.61%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.88%EV -10.15%E -5.08%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -17.17%E -4.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-01 14:18
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.67%EV -17.71%E -6.76%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.81%EV -14.19%E -7.43%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.52%EV -10.07%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-01 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 29.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%15.8%2026-11-01 14:00