Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Sturm Graz v Grazer AK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 48.71%2.05fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%48.74%48.79%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.871.882.0056.82%53.42%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grazer AK (Visit)
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -0.829%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%24.75%24.77%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.99%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.50%26.43%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7031.25%28.74%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 48.71%; Grazer AK (Visit): 24.79%; Draw: 26.50%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.829%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.58%E -1.29%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.22%EV -1.08%E -0.270%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.74%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -4.52%E -2.31%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -7.45%E -3.92%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -3.92%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.45%E -3.92%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -7.93%E -4.20%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.92%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 14:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.68%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.38%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.04%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.91%E -4.76%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.40%E -5.05%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -9.40%E -5.05%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 14:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.78%EV -10.37%E -5.64%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.86%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.86%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.86%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.86%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.86%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.86%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.86%E -5.93%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.97%E -0.532%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.20%EV -11.34%E -6.23%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -12.32%E -6.84%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.30%EV -12.81%E -7.15%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.05%EV -12.81%E -7.15%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -11.24%E -3.36%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.98%EV -12.81%E -7.15%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -11.77%E -3.53%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-18 14:33 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -14.27%E -8.11%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -14.27%E -8.11%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -14.27%E -8.11%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.38%EV -14.27%E -8.11%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -7.27%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-10-18 14:40 |