默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sturm Graz v Grazer AK

2026-10-18 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sturm Graz (主队)

预测 56.08%1.78公平赔率
EV -5.79%
优势 -3.45%
Kelly -8.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
54.44%55.91%56.17%57.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.621.621.6865.79%61.59%61.73%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Grazer AK (客队)

预测 20.32%4.92公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -0.510%
Kelly -0.645%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布
19.37%20.41%20.29%22.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.424.504.8025.00%22.65%22.22%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.60%4.24公平赔率
EV -5.59%
优势 -1.40%
Kelly -1.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.19%23.68%23.54%24.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.533.773.754.0028.33%26.51%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Sturm Graz (主队):56.08%;Grazer AK (客队):20.32%;平局:23.60%。 对于“Grazer AK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.92。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为4.80,期望值为-2.45%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -5.79%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.48%E -0.954%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 18:14
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.64%EV -5.79%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.27%EV -6.31%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -8.43%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 22:14
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:14
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.44%EV -8.60%E -5.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -12.61%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 24.93%EV -15.98%E -4.49%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 21:09
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -2.45%E -0.510%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -6.51%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -18.71%E -4.68%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -11.49%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.80%EV -11.40%E -7.22%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.64%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -11.96%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -10.58%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 18:13
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.25%EV -11.96%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -14.64%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-20 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.49%EV -12.52%E -8.03%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.11%EV -16.68%E -4.07%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-20 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 55.65%EV -14.77%E -9.71%K -28.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.38%EV -15.66%E -3.77%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 23.96%EV -16.69%E -4.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%18.2%2026-09-20 18:13
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。