L’École des cotes

Ried v Rapid Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 17:30 UTC

Score final : Ried 2–1 Rapid Wien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ried (Local)

Prévision 38.71%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.19%38.61%38.87%40.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.402.402.4846.51%41.63%41.67%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rapid Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.84%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.519%
Kelly -0.768%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.91%31.93%31.75%33.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.832.803.0938.02%35.34%35.71%32.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.44%3.40cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.587%
Kelly -0.840%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.46%29.38%30.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.103.103.3335.71%32.26%32.26%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:01
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 16:01
1xBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.06%EV -1.60%E -0.519%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.09%EV -6.08%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 17:20
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.62%EV -2.56%E -0.837%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -1.96%E -0.587%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 17:20
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.18%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 17:10
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.18%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 17:10
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 17:00
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 17:19
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 17:00
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 17:00
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 17:09
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 15:40
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 17:09
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 15:39
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 17:10
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 17:00
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 17:00
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 17:10
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 17:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 17:10
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 17:10
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.18%EV -4.90%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:39
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 17:10
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 17:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 17:00
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -16.25%E -6.18%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-22 16:00
Suprabets2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02%EV -9.80%E -4.20%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 31.46%EV -7.97%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -9.32%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-22 17:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 15:40
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-22 17:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-22 17:10
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-22 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -17.56%E -6.27%K -9.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-22 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-22 15:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -15.50%E -5.40%K -8.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-22 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -16.76%E -7.80%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-22 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-22 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-22 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-22 17:10
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-05-22 17:20
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-05-22 17:00