La escuela de los momiosRied v Rapid Wien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ried (Local)
Predicción 38.71%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.19%38.61%38.87%40.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.402.402.4846.51%41.63%41.67%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rapid Wien (Visitante)
Predicción 31.84%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.519%
Kelly -0.768%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.91%31.93%31.75%33.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.832.803.0938.02%35.34%35.71%32.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.44%3.40momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -0.840%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.46%29.38%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.103.3335.71%32.26%32.26%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -3.99%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 16:01 |
| 1xBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.06%EV -1.60%E -0.519%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.09%EV -6.08%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.62%EV -2.56%E -0.837%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.05%EV -1.96%E -0.587%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.18%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.18%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 17:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 17:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 15:39 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.29%E -2.88%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.83%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.18%EV -4.90%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 15:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.11%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -16.25%E -6.18%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Suprabets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.02%EV -9.80%E -4.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 31.46%EV -7.97%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.52%EV -9.32%E -3.02%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-22 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -9.25%E -3.24%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.65%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -14.62%E -5.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.96%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.02%E -5.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -17.56%E -6.27%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.20%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-22 15:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -12.43%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -15.50%E -5.40%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -16.76%E -7.80%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -10.84%E -3.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |