Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach v WSG Tirol

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 0–0 WSG Tirol

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.31%41.24%42.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.252.3447.62%44.96%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visit)

Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV -0.466%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.189%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%28.78%28.80%30.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.153.103.4634.72%31.76%32.26%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.63%29.91%29.96%30.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.62%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 41.29%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 28.77%; Draw: 29.94%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.46, with an expected value of -0.466%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.71%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.97%EV -0.466%E -0.135%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.96%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:20
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.43%EV -6.69%E -2.96%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -1.04%E -0.303%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.19%E -0.645%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -2.68%E -0.825%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:25
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:22
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:20
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:44
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.26%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.93%E -3.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 07:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.93%E -3.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 07:45
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.93%E -3.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 07:44
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.18%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 16:20
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.38%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 16:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Suprabets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -7.08%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.12%EV -9.57%E -3.17%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 16:22
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -10.82%E -5.01%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.49%EV -9.96%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -11.07%E -3.73%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:18
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-21 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-21 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.16%E -5.77%K -8.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-21 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.15%E -5.96%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -16.16%E -5.77%K -8.98%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-21 16:20
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-21 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.36%2.9%2026-04-21 16:25