La escuela de los momios

Rheindorf Altach v WSG Tirol

Inicio: 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 0–0 WSG Tirol

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Predicción 41.29%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%41.31%41.24%42.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.252.3447.62%44.96%44.44%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

WSG Tirol (Visitante)

Predicción 28.77%3.48momio equitativo
EV -0.466%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.189%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.72%28.78%28.80%30.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.153.103.4634.72%31.76%32.26%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.94%3.34momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.63%29.91%29.96%30.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.62%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.71%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -5.64%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 15:44
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.61%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:15
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.97%EV -0.466%E -0.135%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.96%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 16:25
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 16:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:20
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.43%EV -6.69%E -2.96%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.88%EV -1.04%E -0.303%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -3.28%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 16:25
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.19%E -0.645%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -2.68%E -0.825%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:25
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:22
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 16:20
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:44
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:44
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.26%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.93%E -3.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 07:44
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.93%E -3.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 07:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -7.93%E -3.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 07:44
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 16:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.18%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 16:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.38%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 16:20
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.17%E -2.31%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 16:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Suprabets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -9.99%E -4.58%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -7.08%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.12%EV -9.57%E -3.17%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 16:22
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -10.82%E -5.01%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-21 07:45
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.49%EV -9.96%E -3.18%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -11.07%E -3.73%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 16:18
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.16%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-21 16:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 16:19
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-21 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-21 16:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.16%E -5.77%K -8.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-21 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.29%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.15%E -5.96%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -16.16%E -5.77%K -8.98%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-21 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-21 16:20
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-21 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%1.3%2026-04-21 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-04-21 16:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.36%2.9%2026-04-21 16:25