Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 16:30 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 1–4 Wolfsberger AC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Prediction 35.99%2.78fair odd
EV +0.399%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.32%36.11%35.76%38.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.502.502.7943.86%40.07%40.00%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%33.70%33.86%35.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.69%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.25%3.31fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.438%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.33%30.19%30.38%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.3435.71%32.45%32.26%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 35.99%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 33.77%; Draw: 30.25%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.03%E +0.307%K +0.438%G +0.004%4.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.64%EV -8.96%E -3.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -2.75%E -0.955%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:58
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 16:25
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV +0.399%E +0.143%K +0.223%G +0.001%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.20%EV -4.44%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:25
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 16:20
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.52%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -4.78%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.40%E -0.511%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -7.48%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -2.07%E -0.715%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:14
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -6.13%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -6.13%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.19%E -4.26%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.43%EV -11.38%E -3.88%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 16:23
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 16:24
Suprabets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 35.77%EV -8.60%E -3.38%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.68%EV -6.13%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -12.89%E -4.48%K -6.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:16
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -12.89%E -4.48%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 16:15
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.71%EV -14.71%E -6.21%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-05-04 16:25