L’École des cotes

Rheindorf Altach v Wolfsberger AC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 16:30 UTC

Score final : Rheindorf Altach 1–4 Wolfsberger AC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Prévision 35.99%2.78cote équitable
EV +0.399%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.223%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.32%36.11%35.76%38.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.502.502.7943.86%40.07%40.00%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wolfsberger AC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.77%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.715%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.22%33.70%33.86%35.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.69%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.25%3.31cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.307%
Kelly +0.438%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.33%30.19%30.38%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.3435.71%32.45%32.26%29.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV +1.03%E +0.307%K +0.438%G +0.004%4.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Coolbet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.64%EV -8.96%E -3.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -2.75%E -0.955%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 09:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:58
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -14.35%E -6.03%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -1.70%E -0.522%K -0.754%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 16:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -3.21%E -1.00%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:25
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV +0.399%E +0.143%K +0.223%G +0.001%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.20%EV -4.44%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 16:25
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:25
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 16:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 16:25
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:25
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:25
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.52%EV -17.95%E -7.87%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.69%EV -5.00%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.41%EV -4.78%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.89%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -7.75%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 16:25
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -1.40%E -0.511%K -0.805%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -7.48%E -2.73%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:25
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -2.07%E -0.715%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:14
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.26%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -6.13%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:25
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -6.13%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.86%E -3.31%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:25
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -15.43%E -6.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 16:25
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.19%E -4.26%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.43%EV -11.38%E -3.88%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 16:23
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.72%E -2.18%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:25
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.04%E -4.01%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -12.20%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.28%E -4.24%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 16:24
Suprabets2.54I 39.37%NM 35.77%EV -8.60%E -3.38%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.68%EV -6.13%E -2.20%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.55%EV -12.89%E -4.48%K -6.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:16
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -12.89%E -4.48%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-04 16:15
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 36.71%EV -14.71%E -6.21%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.07%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.31%E -5.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-05-04 16:25
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-05-04 16:25