Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach v Grazer AK

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 1–2 Grazer AK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Prediction 43.32%2.31fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.43%43.26%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.2050.76%47.54%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grazer AK (Visit)

Prediction 28.74%3.48fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.411%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.28%28.71%28.75%30.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.5333.33%31.48%31.25%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.86%27.99%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.5032.26%30.25%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 43.32%; Grazer AK (Visit): 28.74%; Draw: 27.94%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -6.00%E -2.77%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.40%EV +1.45%E +0.411%K +0.573%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.29%E -0.672%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.29%E -0.672%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.17%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.87%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -3.72%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:51
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:45
Suprabets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.79%EV -6.02%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.31%EV -10.30%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:36
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:21
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:21
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:21
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:21
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-12 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70%EV -7.73%E -3.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.23%EV -14.66%E -7.44%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.17%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -10.33%E -3.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -11.42%E -3.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:18
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:21
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-09-12 14:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-12 14:55
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-09-12 14:55