Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rheindorf Altach v Grazer AK

Início: 2026-09-12 15:00 UTC

Final: Rheindorf Altach 1–2 Grazer AK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Previsão 43.32%2.31odd justa
EV -4.70%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -3.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.08%43.43%43.26%45.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.102.102.2050.76%47.54%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Grazer AK (Visitante)

Previsão 28.74%3.48odd justa
EV +1.45%
Vantagem +0.411%
Kelly +0.573%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.28%28.71%28.75%30.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.203.5333.33%31.48%31.25%28.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.94%3.58odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -0.628%
Kelly -0.880%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%27.86%27.99%28.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.313.303.5032.26%30.25%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 43.32%; Grazer AK (Visitante): 28.74%; Empate: 27.94%. Para Grazer AK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.48. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.53, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -6.00%E -2.77%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.40%EV +1.45%E +0.411%K +0.573%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.29%E -0.672%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.29%E -0.672%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.17%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.87%EV -3.44%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -3.72%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.57%E -2.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:51
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:45
Suprabets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.79%EV -6.02%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.31%EV -10.30%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:36
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 14:21
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:21
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -8.17%E -3.85%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:21
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:21
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-12 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -2.20%E -0.628%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.70%EV -7.73%E -3.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.23%EV -14.66%E -7.44%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.38%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.17%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -10.33%E -3.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -11.42%E -3.60%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:18
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.70%E -2.14%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.87%E -3.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -11.20%E -5.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:21
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -12.50%E -6.19%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.37%E -6.68%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-09-12 14:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-12 14:55
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-12 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-09-12 14:55