Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach v Austria Wien

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Prediction 32.04%3.12fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.95%32.08%32.02%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.803.0838.46%35.27%35.71%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Wien (Visit)

Prediction 35.92%2.78fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.38%35.88%35.85%37.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.7541.67%39.28%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.04%3.12fair odd
EV +0.592%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.277%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.55%32.04%32.13%33.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.892.903.1440.00%34.65%34.48%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rheindorf Altach (Local): 32.04%; Austria Wien (Visit): 35.92%; Draw: 32.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.592%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.97%EV -6.76%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.48%EV -5.52%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.55%EV +0.592%E +0.188%K +0.277%G +0.002%4.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.07%EV -3.23%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.21%E -0.441%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:50
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 15:55
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:47
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 02:44
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 11:15
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:29
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 02:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.31%E -0.426%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.31%E -0.426%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 08:59
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.93%E -0.707%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:45
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:35
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.44%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.88%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.44%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.88%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.72%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:20
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:54
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.68%E -3.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 02:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -13.49%E -5.00%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 02:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.14%EV -10.92%E -3.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.17%EV -11.27%E -4.56%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.68%EV -9.66%E -3.43%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:14
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:15
Suprabets🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.12%EV -9.32%E -3.29%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.83%EV -6.24%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:42
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.68%E -3.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -13.50%E -5.00%K -7.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.75%E -5.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -13.49%E -5.00%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -16.07%E -6.13%K -9.92%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.02%EV -16.69%E -6.42%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -19.91%E -7.96%K -13.27%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%1.0%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%1.0%2026-02-21 15:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.99%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-02-21 15:55