La escuela de los momios

Rheindorf Altach v Austria Wien

Inicio: 2026-02-21 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rheindorf Altach (Local)

Predicción 32.04%3.12momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.631%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.95%32.08%32.02%32.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.842.803.0838.46%35.27%35.71%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Predicción 35.92%2.78momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.441%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.38%35.88%35.85%37.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.552.7541.67%39.28%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.04%3.12momio equitativo
EV +0.592%
Ventaja +0.188%
Kelly +0.277%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.55%32.04%32.13%33.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.892.903.1440.00%34.65%34.48%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.97%EV -6.76%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.48%EV -5.52%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.55%EV +0.592%E +0.188%K +0.277%G +0.002%4.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 32.07%EV -3.23%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.21%E -0.441%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:50
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 15:55
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:47
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 02:44
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 11:15
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:29
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 07:30
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 02:44
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.31%E -0.426%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 09:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.31%E -0.426%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 08:59
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.93%E -0.707%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:45
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:35
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.44%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.88%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.44%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.88%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.72%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:20
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:54
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 10:00
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.68%E -3.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 02:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 15:50
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -13.49%E -5.00%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 02:44
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.14%EV -10.92%E -3.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.17%EV -11.27%E -4.56%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.68%EV -9.66%E -3.43%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:35
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:14
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 11:15
Suprabets2.83I 35.34%NM 32.12%EV -9.32%E -3.29%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.83%EV -6.24%E -2.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:42
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.68%E -3.05%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 15:55
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 14:25
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -13.50%E -5.00%K -7.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -10.28%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -15.75%E -5.99%K -9.66%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 15:55
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -13.49%E -5.00%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -16.07%E -6.13%K -9.92%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 15:55
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.02%EV -16.69%E -6.42%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -13.79%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -19.91%E -7.96%K -13.27%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%1.0%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%1.0%2026-02-21 15:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.99%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-02-21 15:55