Language:English
RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RB Salzburg (Local)
Prediction 51.48%1.94fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.96%51.55%51.53%53.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.8659.88%55.99%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rapid Wien (Visit)
Prediction 25.44%3.93fair odd
EV +2.27%
Edge +0.566%
Kelly +0.753%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.36%25.34%26.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.554.0229.85%27.92%28.17%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.08%23.14%24.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.934.004.2426.67%25.43%25.00%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RB Salzburg (Local): 51.48%; Rapid Wien (Visit): 25.44%; Draw: 23.08%. For Rapid Wien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.66%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV +2.27%E +0.566%K +0.753%G +0.017% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.49%EV -5.82%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -0.780%E -0.200%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -0.780%E -0.200%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.90%EV -4.26%E -2.29%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.34%EV -3.07%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.77%EV -2.12%E -0.501%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.60%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -5.29%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 06:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 06:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 06:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 06:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -9.40%E -5.34%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.63%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.45%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 18:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.49%E -7.35%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -10.43%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.23%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.24%EV -11.98%E -7.00%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -12.23%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -14.04%E -8.41%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-31 06:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-31 06:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |