Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien

Início: 2026-09-02 18:30 UTC

Final: RB Salzburg 5–1 Rapid Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

RB Salzburg (Local)

Previsão 51.48%1.94odd justa
EV -4.26%
Vantagem -2.29%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.96%51.55%51.53%53.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.791.801.8659.88%55.99%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rapid Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 25.44%3.93odd justa
EV +2.27%
Vantagem +0.566%
Kelly +0.753%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.84%25.36%25.34%26.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.583.554.0229.85%27.92%28.17%24.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.08%4.33odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -0.501%
Kelly -0.656%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.87%23.08%23.14%24.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.934.004.2426.67%25.43%25.00%23.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: RB Salzburg (Local): 51.48%; Rapid Wien (Visitante): 25.44%; Empate: 23.08%. Para Rapid Wien (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.93. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.02, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.66%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.84%EV +2.27%E +0.566%K +0.753%G +0.017%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.49%EV -5.82%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -0.780%E -0.200%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -0.780%E -0.200%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.90%EV -4.26%E -2.29%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.34%EV -3.07%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.77%EV -2.12%E -0.501%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.60%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 14:19
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 18:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.55%EV -5.29%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 06:04
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 06:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 06:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 06:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 06:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 06:05
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 06:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 06:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 18:24
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -9.40%E -5.34%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.63%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 18:24
Suprabets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.45%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 18:23
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 18:25
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.49%E -7.35%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-02 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -10.43%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -12.23%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.24%EV -11.98%E -7.00%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -12.23%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-02 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.36%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 06:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -14.04%E -8.41%K -20.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-02 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 06:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 06:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.43%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -14.77%E -4.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 06:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-09-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-09-02 18:25
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-09-02 18:25