Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Score final : Rapid Wien 3–1 Sturm Graz

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 44.94%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.47%44.98%44.91%46.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.052.052.1451.81%48.76%48.78%46.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.74%3.36cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.746%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.69%29.78%30.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.2835.71%32.51%32.26%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.322%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.96%25.33%25.31%26.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.593.553.9029.85%27.84%28.17%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rapid Wien (Local) : 44.94% ; Sturm Graz (Visiteur) : 29.74% ; Match nul : 25.32%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.95. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.90, pour une espérance de -1.26% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.19%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV -2.45%E -0.746%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.28%E -0.859%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:00
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 06:55
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:00
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:00
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 07:00
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.72%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.27%EV -2.45%E -0.746%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.723%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.53%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 06:49
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -6.98%E -3.37%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 07:00
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.52%E -0.655%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:53
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 06:49
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:44
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:45
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:34
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 07:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -8.77%E -4.32%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.29%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 06:50
Suprabets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.78%EV -8.77%E -4.32%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 25.90%EV -11.13%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 08:10
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 06:49
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 06:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:54
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.09%EV -11.02%E -5.57%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 14:34
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.72%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-30 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.65%EV -13.27%E -6.87%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-08-30 14:50