Idioma:Español
Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rapid Wien (Local)
Predicción 44.94%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.83%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.47%44.98%44.91%46.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.052.052.1451.81%48.76%48.78%46.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 29.74%3.36momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.746%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.69%29.78%30.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.2835.71%32.51%32.26%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.32%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.322%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.96%25.33%25.31%26.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.593.553.9029.85%27.84%28.17%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rapid Wien (Local): 44.94%; Sturm Graz (Visitante): 29.74%; Empate: 25.32%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.95. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.90, con un valor esperado de -1.26%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.19%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV -2.45%E -0.746%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -3.28%E -0.859%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 06:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -3.83%E -1.79%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.72%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.27%EV -2.45%E -0.746%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.723%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.63%E -2.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.53%E -3.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 06:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -6.98%E -3.37%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -2.52%E -0.655%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 06:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.87%E -3.84%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -8.32%E -4.08%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -15.18%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 07:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -8.77%E -4.32%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.29%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 06:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.78%EV -8.77%E -4.32%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.80%E -2.52%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 25.90%EV -11.13%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -1.26%E -0.322%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.29%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 06:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 06:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.12%E -5.06%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.09%EV -11.02%E -5.57%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.05%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.77%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -12.37%E -6.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.72%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -11.38%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.65%EV -13.27%E -6.87%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -12.26%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |