La scuola delle quote

Rapid Wien v RB Salzburg

Inizio: 2026-04-26 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rapid Wien (Casa)

Previsione 27.46%3.64quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -0.714%
Kelly -0.994%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.71%27.52%27.43%29.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.203.5533.33%30.72%31.25%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

RB Salzburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.58%2.15quota equa
EV -3.59%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -3.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%46.50%46.60%47.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.841.992.002.0754.35%50.37%50.00%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.97%3.85quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -0.698%
Kelly -0.952%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.93%25.98%25.97%27.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.71%28.99%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -3.40%E -0.913%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:39
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -3.08%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.30%EV -6.38%E -3.17%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 07:24
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:19
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:19
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:34
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:41
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:34
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:29
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:14
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:28
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:29
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.62%E -0.698%K -0.952%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:09
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:04
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:45
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 07:20
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 12:35
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -11.50%E -6.06%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 07:30
Suprabets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.62%EV -11.50%E -6.06%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.13%EV -11.97%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 19:10
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -12.44%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -12.23%E -3.62%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 23:34
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.12%EV -13.83%E -7.48%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-22 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -19.50%E -6.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 07:29
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -10.57%E -5.51%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:15
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:14
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:15
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:10
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 16:44
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -17.63%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -8.24%E -4.18%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 11:15
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -17.63%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.06%EV -14.30%E -7.77%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.68%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-22 23:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%12.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%12.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%13.4%2026-04-23 21:35