Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 27.46%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.714%
Kelly -0.994%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.71%27.52%27.43%29.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.203.5533.33%30.72%31.25%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.58%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.50%46.60%47.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.841.992.002.0754.35%50.37%50.00%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.97%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -0.952%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.93%25.98%25.97%27.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.71%28.99%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rapid Wien (Local) : 27.46% ; RB Salzburg (Visiteur) : 46.58% ; Match nul : 25.97%. Pour Rapid Wien (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.55, pour une espérance de -2.53% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -3.40%E -0.913%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:39
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -3.08%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.30%EV -6.38%E -3.17%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 07:24
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:19
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:34
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:41
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:29
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:14
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:28
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:29
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.62%E -0.698%K -0.952%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:09
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:04
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:45
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 07:20
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 12:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -11.50%E -6.06%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 07:30
Suprabets🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.62%EV -11.50%E -6.06%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.13%EV -11.97%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 19:10
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -12.44%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -12.23%E -3.62%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.12%EV -13.83%E -7.48%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-22 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -19.50%E -6.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 07:29
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -10.57%E -5.51%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:15
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:15
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:10
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -17.63%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -8.24%E -4.18%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -17.63%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.06%EV -14.30%E -7.77%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.68%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-22 23:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%12.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%12.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%13.4%2026-04-23 21:35