L’École des cotes

Rapid Wien v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 27.46%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.714%
Kelly -0.994%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.71%27.52%27.43%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.203.5533.33%30.72%31.25%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.58%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.50%46.60%47.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.841.992.002.0754.35%50.37%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.97%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -0.952%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.93%25.98%25.97%27.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.483.453.7532.26%28.71%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -3.40%E -0.913%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:39
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 26.93%EV -3.08%E -0.873%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.30%EV -6.38%E -3.17%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.77%EV -4.18%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 07:24
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.09%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.87%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:00
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:19
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:19
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:34
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:41
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 12:34
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.92%E -2.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 11:29
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:14
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.92%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:28
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:29
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.62%E -0.698%K -0.952%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:09
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:04
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.85%E -3.42%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:45
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 07:20
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 12:35
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -11.50%E -6.06%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 07:30
Suprabets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.62%EV -11.50%E -6.06%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 26.13%EV -11.97%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.78%E -3.93%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.22%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 19:10
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:44
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -12.44%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -12.23%E -3.62%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 23:34
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.12%EV -13.83%E -7.48%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-22 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -19.50%E -6.29%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 07:29
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:15
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -3.59%E -1.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -10.57%E -5.51%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:15
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:14
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:14
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.52%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 11:15
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.18%E -4.71%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:10
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.89%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -11.04%E -5.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.71%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 16:44
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -17.63%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -8.24%E -4.18%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.01%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 11:15
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -17.63%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.06%EV -14.30%E -7.77%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.68%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-22 23:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%11.5%2026-04-23 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%12.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%12.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%13.4%2026-04-23 21:35