Language:English
Rapid Wien v Austria Wien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rapid Wien (Local)
Prediction 43.59%2.29fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.19%43.53%43.61%44.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.092.102.2052.36%47.90%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austria Wien (Visit)
Prediction 29.02%3.45fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.35%29.08%28.95%30.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.163.203.3335.09%31.60%31.25%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%27.39%27.43%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.5633.33%29.99%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rapid Wien (Local): 43.59%; Austria Wien (Visit): 29.02%; Draw: 27.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 05:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.00%EV -4.55%E -2.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.94%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.07%EV -2.48%E -0.697%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.88%EV -5.42%E -2.50%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -3.36%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -5.86%E -2.71%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -5.86%E -2.71%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -6.26%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.40%EV -6.32%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.29%E -2.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.60%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.60%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 01:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.60%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.21%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.46%EV -10.61%E -3.45%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.33%EV -9.06%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 03:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -15.84%E -5.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:18 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.23%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-06 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 15:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 29.17%EV -11.19%E -3.66%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.29%EV -10.43%E -3.19%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 01:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%EV -10.65%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -14.39%E -4.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 05:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 16:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.97%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.98%EV -12.83%E -6.41%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.29%E -6.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-08 05:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -14.14%E -7.18%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.71%E -4.35%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-06 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -15.01%E -7.70%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -16.75%E -8.77%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -17.82%E -5.94%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-09 17:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 01:55 |