Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.94%52.94%52.81%54.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.751.761.8063.29%57.25%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 22.97%4.35fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.305%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.92%22.94%23.05%24.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.994.004.3127.03%25.09%25.00%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV -0.455%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.145%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.13%24.13%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.674.1329.41%26.82%27.21%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 52.93%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 22.97%; Draw: 24.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.13, with an expected value of -0.455%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.83%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -1.18%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 15:59
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.91%EV -3.76%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.47%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.23%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.40%EV -1.01%E -0.234%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.37%EV -0.455%E -0.110%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -2.16%E -0.506%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -1.18%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.07%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.54%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.54%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:59
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Suprabets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.26%EV -10.20%E -2.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 23.87%EV -8.17%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:57
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.04%EV -10.88%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -13.71%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 15:58
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.02%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -10.55%E -6.24%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.54%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 15:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-08 15:59
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -12.14%E -7.31%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 52.86%EV -16.37%E -10.36%K -28.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -15.02%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.05%E -5.31%K -7.52%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%3.5%2026-03-08 16:00