La escuela de los momios

LASK v Wolfsberger AC

Inicio: 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

LASK (Local)

Predicción 52.93%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.73%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -5.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.94%52.94%52.81%54.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.751.761.8063.29%57.25%56.82%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wolfsberger AC (Visitante)

Predicción 22.97%4.35momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.234%
Kelly -0.305%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.92%22.94%23.05%24.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.994.004.3127.03%25.09%25.00%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.10%4.15momio equitativo
EV -0.455%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.145%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%24.13%24.13%25.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.674.1329.41%26.82%27.21%24.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.83%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -1.18%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 15:59
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.91%EV -3.76%E -0.899%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.47%EV -1.42%E -0.347%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.23%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.40%EV -1.01%E -0.234%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.37%EV -0.455%E -0.110%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -2.16%E -0.506%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:59
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 16:00
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 16:00
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%EV -1.18%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.83%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.07%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -11.57%E -3.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -14.43%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.54%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.54%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:59
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.39%E -0.562%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.87%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.26%EV -10.20%E -2.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 23.87%EV -8.17%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:57
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.04%EV -10.88%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -13.71%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 15:58
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.13%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.43%E -2.67%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.02%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 15:59
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -10.55%E -6.24%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.54%E -0.842%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 15:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.87%E -3.70%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-08 15:59
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -12.14%E -7.31%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.72%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 15:59
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.86%EV -16.37%E -10.36%K -28.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -15.02%E -4.06%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.05%E -5.31%K -7.52%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%3.5%2026-03-08 16:00