L’École des cotes

LASK v Rapid Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 18:30 UTC

Score final : LASK 3–1 Rapid Wien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

LASK (Local)

Prévision 49.77%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.04%49.83%49.76%51.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.871.9558.14%53.73%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rapid Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV +2.25%
Avantage +0.549%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.24%24.88%25.07%26.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.554.1029.85%27.52%28.17%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.29%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.475%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.29%25.18%26.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.553.9030.30%27.95%28.17%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.25%E +0.549%K +0.725%G +0.016%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -4.41%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 18:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -10.41%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 18:15
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 18:14
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.49%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV -1.38%E -0.353%K -0.475%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 18:20
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.84%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 15:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 18:05
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 18:18
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 18:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 18:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 18:10
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 18:25
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 18:14
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.41%E -5.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 18:00
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 17:44
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 17:44
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.35%EV -14.39%E -8.37%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -16.55%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-04 18:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 18:10
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 17:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 18:05
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 18:25
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.82%EV -10.91%E -6.09%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.26%EV -11.97%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.91%EV -9.47%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 18:07
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.70%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 17:55
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 18:10
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.43%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 18:25
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 18:15
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-04 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -13.89%E -8.03%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-04 18:09
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 17:55
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.02%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-04 18:25
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.90%E -7.37%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-04 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -11.40%E -6.41%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -16.46%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-04 18:20
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-05-04 18:15
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.1%2026-05-04 18:20